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July PCE inflation index held at 3.7% annual pace, slightly hotter than expected

The Personal Consumption Expenditures index — the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure — held at a 3.7% annual pace in July, slightly higher than forecasted and reflecting persistent cost pressures for consumers. Economists polled by FactSet had predicted a 3.6% annual increase. Wednesday’s report instead showed that inflation remained unchanged from June. PCE tracks changes…

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The Fed was expected to hike interest rates in September. Don’t bet on that now, economists say.

What a difference a day can make for monetary policy.  On Thursday, interest rate futures were decidedly tilted toward the Federal Reserve hiking its benchmark rate in September, according to CME FedWatch, which tracks traders to forecast the central bank’s policy decisions. But after Friday morning’s dismal July jobs report, which showed that employers unexpectedly…

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